Bernd 09/06/2017 (Wed) 16:47:04 No. 9945 del
I think it's too early to say. Models agree that it will reach southern tip of Florida but the path from there on is unclear. In any case there's a cold front over eastern US right now; this means barotropic discontinuity in the atmosphere; this means wind direction varies wildly on both sides of the front and with height so when Irma hits the front it will start ripping her apart, lowering intensity no matter where she gets deflected.