03/06/2018 (Tue) 00:15:31
You can only do what the people will let you get away with, so probably longer than you'd expect since China's been on the rise for a while now. I don't think anything short of unforeseen catastrophe will derail them anytime soon.
One major driver of their political stability is China's seemingly paradoxical view on freedom (do just about whatever you want as long as you aren't talking shit about the government or harming others) is paying dividends, while the western world's orthodox view on freedom (de jure freedoms, de facto tyranny) is currently biting them in the ass. Once again, Deus Ex was right.
They also seem content to use their absolute power to (mostly) serve the people. That's not really an endorsement of their policy but rather a reflection of reality. They're investing ungodly amounts of money in shockingly large scale infrastructure and their "special economic zones" are driving massive economic growth. Their government no doubt enjoys large popular support.
Long term they will for sure suffer consequences for this. Lots of things coming to bite them in the ass: Overcrowding, negative health effects from pollution and urbanized populations, the rise of consumerism creating weak generations, the African population boom, you name it. No civilization lasts forever but China's got the short term locked down tight.